Recent Polls(4 polls)Medium
| Date | Pollster | Grade | Margin | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | TIPP Insights | A | R+1.8 | 1,175 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | TIPP Insights (R) | A | D+1.2 | 1,175 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Impact Research (D) | B/C | D+3.2 | 500 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Platform Communications | — | R+1.8 | 500 |
Historical Context
- 2022 result
- Tony Evers (D) D+3.4
- 2024 presidential (WI)
- Trump (R) R+0.9
- Model vs. last result
- D+4.6 shift vs. last result
About this forecast
- Structural forecast based on electoral type modeling across 72 counties.
- Types are discovered from historical shift patterns — not from polls or demographics alone.
- 4 race-specific polls have been incorporated via Bayesian update through the type covariance structure.
Last updated: Sep 29, 2025