Recent Polls(3 polls)Medium
| Date | Pollster | Grade | Margin | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Siena College | A | D+9.8 | 806 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Siena College | A | D+8.0 | 804 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Marist College | A- | D+10.2 | 1,442 |
About this forecast
- Structural forecast based on electoral type modeling across 62 counties.
- Types are discovered from historical shift patterns — not from polls or demographics alone.
- 3 race-specific polls have been incorporated via Bayesian update through the type covariance structure.
Last updated: Feb 18, 2026