Incumbent: Ed Markey (D)
Rating: Safe D
Candidates: Ed Markey (D)
Recent Polls(2 polls)Medium
| Date | Pollster | Grade | Margin | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | UNH | — | D+17.5 | 620 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Boston Globe/Suffolk | — | D+13.5 | 500 |
About this forecast
- Structural forecast based on electoral type modeling across 14 counties.
- Types are discovered from historical shift patterns — not from polls or demographics alone.
- 2 race-specific polls have been incorporated via Bayesian update through the type covariance structure.
Last updated: Nov 22, 2025