Recent Polls(3 polls)High
| Date | Pollster | Grade | Margin | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | TIPP Insights | A | D+5.8 | 1,159 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Noble Predictive Insights | B+ | D+3.2 | 1,023 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Emerson College | A | D+0.6 | 850 |
About this forecast
- Structural forecast based on electoral type modeling across 15 counties.
- Types are discovered from historical shift patterns — not from polls or demographics alone.
- 3 race-specific polls have been incorporated via Bayesian update through the type covariance structure.
Last updated: Nov 9, 2025