Incumbent: Dan Sullivan (R)
Rating: Lean R
Candidates: Dan Sullivan (R) vs Mary Peltola (D) vs Dustin Darden, Richard Grayson (I)
Recent PollsLow
This forecast is based on the structural model prior — no race-specific polls have been incorporated yet.
No polls available yet for this race.
About this forecast
- Structural forecast based on electoral type modeling across 28 counties.
- Types are discovered from historical shift patterns — not from polls or demographics alone.
No polls yet — forecast reflects structural model prior only.